This is a "Bitcoin Bear Market Floor Power Law" chart — it's a mathematical model that tries to predict how low Bitcoin's price will go during future bear markets based on historical data.

What it shows:

• 6 historical bear market lows plotted as orange dots: $2 (2011) → $62 (2013) → $154 (2015) → $475 (2016) → $3,142 (2018) → $16,000 (2022)
• A power law trend line (the equation in the top-left) that fits these points with an R² of 0.9976 — meaning the model fits the past data extremely well
• Future projections (dashed line, hollow circles): $61K in 2026, $188K in 2030, $582K in 2035

The theory behind it: Every time Bitcoin goes through a bear market, the bottom is higher than the previous one, and the gap between lows grows over time. On a log-log scale, this creates a nearly straight line — hence the "power law" fit.

Caveat: The chart itself notes it's "illustrative and not a prediction of future prices." The model is purely mathematical — it doesn't account for things like adoption curves, regulatory changes, macroeconomic shifts, or whether Bitcoin's price dynamics will actually continue following this pattern. It's a neat visualization of a historical trend, but not a crystal ball.

⚠️ NFA Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The model presented is purely illustrative and should not be used as the sole basis for any investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Generated by AI — not a substitute for professional analysis.